Hurricane Forecasting

Hurricane forecasting is still not an exact science. Mother Nature has a way of throwing you a curve (literally in this case). Hurricane forecasting is heavily reliant on computer models. There are many different hurricane forecasts available, which are built on different mathematical equations.

Hurricanes form in tropics between the latitudes of 10 degrees and 30 degrees north during hurricane season, which lasts from June to October. Hurricanes need warm water at least 80 degrees Fahrenheit (27 degrees Celsius) for their formation and to sustain them. Hurricanes form over the ocean. Hurricanes form in the tropical oceans between the latitudes of about 8 degrees to 15 degrees north and south of the equator, and aren't simply natural disasters. They can cause great devastation to populated areas. They do not form within 5 degrees latitude of the equator because the coriolis effect isn't strong enough to generate the required circular rotation.

Hurricanes form there because the correct ingredients can be found to make the hurricane. One ingredient is that the water in the ocean needs to be at least 27 degrees celsius on the top 61 meters of water. Hurricanes form in tropical waters when evaporating water is sucked up into storms. As the vapor rises, it condenses, releasing energy that fuels the storm. Hurricanes form over water, and the water must be warm. During the hurricane season the water temperature along the east coast is at least eighty degrees Fahrenheit.